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FY 2011/12 Budget Assumptions <br />CRAM <br />The City of Casselberry supports a Community Redevelopment Agency <br />(CRA) to promote private sector activity in the City. The CRA is funded <br />through Tax Increment contributed by the City of Casselberry and <br />Seminole County. The tax increment is the levy of both taxing authorities <br />on appreciated taxable value over that base year. Tax Increment <br />Revenue fell 16.36% in fiscal year 2010 and an additional budgeted drop <br />of 39.73% in fiscal year 2011, These decreases are attributed to the lack <br />of new construction in the City and that there has been no increase in <br />millage to compensate for loss in taxable value. <br />For FY 2011/12 the Property Appraiser is expecting an additional decline <br />in citywide property values of 7-9%. The Property Appraiser further <br />assumes that with no economic recovery; property values are expected <br />to further decline 3% in 2012/13, no growth in FY 2013/14 and return to <br />a moderate 2% increase in FY 2014/15 and FY 2015/16. The forecast <br />projects a 2% increase for years FY 2016/17 thru FY 2020/21. <br />WHAT -IF ANALYSIS <br />The pro forma model for the General Fund is designed to allow changes <br />to the primary underlying assumptions. Selectively changing <br />assumptions to determine the impact on the model's results is <br />commonly referred to as "Sensitivity Analysis". Essentially it measures <br />the significance of any assumption in projecting the results. Due to the <br />additive nature of compounding the impacts will not be an exactly <br />identical absolute value. <br />The assumptions utilized in this model incorporate Commission approved <br />increases in ambulance service fees and business taxes resulting in <br />annual revenue increases of $100,000 and $20,000, respectively. A joint <br />venture with the City of Longwood to consolidate Fire Services resulting <br />in an annual decrease in operating costs of $200,000. <br />CONCLUSION <br />The function of local government is ultimately limited by its ability to pay <br />for services. The challenge is to continue to identify the most critical <br />priorities and direct resources to those areas; maintaining a budget that <br />reflects an appropriate and responsible plan for meeting the core <br />services and requirements of the community. The challenges and <br />opportunities that face us are below: <br />The financial strategy employed to achieve long-term financial stability <br />was to rebalance operations through a blend of expenditure reductions <br />and the identification of operational efficiencies through review and <br />evaluation of essential programs and services. This proactive financial <br />planning, at the department level, will be required as we move into the <br />future as expenditures must be expected to grow in some moderate <br />level. Sustainable revenues will need to keep pace. <br />Prioritizing a capital program and allocating funding in accordance with <br />the ranking to ensure the development of a physically, culturally and <br />economically diverse community. <br />A preservation of fund balance reserves must be emphasized in order to <br />build a financially resilient government. <br />As the economy continues its sluggish climb to recovery, continuous <br />diagnosis of the day-to-day environment validates whether strategies <br />are operating in accordance with planned stakeholder objectives. <br />Despite the current economic environment we must move forward as <br />a collaborative force to sustain our future. <br />City of Casselberry Page 7 <br />